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Chiefs vs. Broncos odds, line, spread: Sunday Night Football picks, predictions from model on 116-75 roll


The Denver Broncos don’t have much for which to play over the last five games of their 2020 NFL season, as they appear likely to finish with a losing record for a fourth consecutive campaign. They do, however, have an opportunity to prevent a hated rival from achieving the inevitable. The Broncos can keep the Kansas City Chiefs from clinching a playoff berth when they visit their AFC West foes on Sunday Night Football. Kickoff from Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET.

Denver (4-7), which is coming off a 31-3 home loss to New Orleans last Sunday, also is looking to end a 10-game losing streak against Kansas City. The Chiefs (10-1) will secure a postseason spot with their seventh straight victory of the season. Kansas City is a 13-point favorite in the latest Chiefs vs. Broncos odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under is 51. Before locking in any Broncos vs. Chiefs picks, make sure you see the latest Sunday Night Football predictions from SportsLine’s proven projection model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 20-10 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning almost $900. The model also enters Week 13 on an incredible 116-75 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. 

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Chiefs vs. Broncos. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and trends for Broncos vs. Chiefs:

  • Chiefs vs. Broncos spread: Kansas City -13
  • Chiefs vs. Broncos over-under: 51 points
  • Chiefs vs. Broncos money line: Kansas City -1000, Denver +650
  • KC: Chiefs are 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 home games
  • DEN: Broncos are 1-9 against the number in their last 10 meetings with Kansas City

Why the Chiefs can cover

Kansas City boasts the reigning AFC Offensive Player of the Week in Tyreek Hill, who had a tremendous performance against the Buccaneers. The 26-year-old had seven receptions, 203 yards and two touchdowns in the first quarter alone and finished with career highs in catches (13), yards (269) and touchdowns (three), respectively. Hill joined Qadry Ismail (1999) and Lee Evans (2006) as the only players since 1980 to register 200 receiving yards in one quarter.

Hill, who made 10 catches for 215 yards and two TDs in 2018 against the Los Angeles Rams, is the sixth player in NFL history with two career games of 10 receptions, 200 yards and two scores. The product of West Alabama leads the league with 13 touchdown catches, is tied with Minnesota’s Dalvin Cook for first in total TDs at 14 and ranks second with 1,021 receiving yards. Hill is one of the main pieces of a unit that is first in the NFL in total offense (425.8 yards), first in passing offense (314.5) and second in scoring offense (31.6 points).

Why the Broncos can cover

Denver was forced to use practice-squad receiver Kendall Hinton at quarterback last Sunday as Drew Lock and the team’s three other signal-callers landed on the COVID-19 list. The 24-year-old Lock has thrown for at least 250 yards in three consecutive games and is looking to amass at least 200 against Kansas City for the third straight time. Lock completed 24-of-40 pass attempts for 254 yards and ran for a touchdown in Denver’s 43-16 home loss against the Chiefs in Week 7.

Melvin Gordon gained 68 yards on the ground and 12 through the air while also rushing for a score in that matchup. The 27-year-old has registered at least 75 scrimmage yards in each of his last six meetings with Kansas City. Gordon leads the Broncos with 554 rushing yards and is one of four players in the NFL with at least 500 in each of the last six campaigns.

How to make Chiefs vs. Broncos picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total. In fact, it’s calling for 53 total points. It also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Broncos vs. Chiefs on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Broncos vs. Chiefs spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,900 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.





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